BTC Cycle Theory

Forecast based on historical Bitcoin cycles and typical market patterns

ATH This Cycle

$126,200

October 6, 2025

158Days since ATH
ATH to Cycle Low

12 Months

October 6, 2026 (expected)

206Days
19Hrs
12Min
41Sec
80% Drop from ATH

~$25,000

Possible Cycle Low

New ATH

End of 2027 – Beginning of 2028

Approx. 12–18 months after the bottom

Next BTC Halving

April 2028

Cycle Analysis Chart

Historical and projected Bitcoin price cycles with correction zones

Bitcoin cycle analysis chart showing historical and projected price corrections

Click to open chart on TradingView

Timeline

Chronological overview of expected cycle events

  1. 1October 2025: BTC ATH at $126,200
  2. 2October 2026: Expected cycle low (~$25k at 80% correction)
  3. 3End of 2027 – Beginning of 2028: New ATH likely
  4. 4April 2028: Next Bitcoin Halving
Halving Overview

Historical and predicted Bitcoin halving events

HalvingDateBlock Reward
2012Nov 28, 201250 → 25 BTC
2016Jul 9, 201625 → 12.5 BTC
2020May 11, 202012.5 → 6.25 BTC
2024Apr 20, 20246.25 → 3.125 BTC
2028~April 20283.125 → 1.5625 BTC
Historical ATH Multiples

Evolution of all-time highs across Bitcoin cycles

CyclePrevious ATHNew ATHMultiple
2013~$31~$1,150~37×
2017~$1,150~$19,800~17×
2021~$19,800~$69,000~3.5×
2025~$69,000~$126,000~1.8×
2028(Prediction)~$126,000~$189,000~1.5×